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Can San Francisco Break in to the Top Category of World Cities for CRE Investment?

According to a new system of ranking by JLL and The Business of Cities, an intelligence and strategy firm, San Francisco is the top contender for breaking into the highest level of Established World Cities for commercial real estate investment. At the top are the Big Seven, which “account for nearly one-quarter of all capital invested in commercial real estate globally” and are comprised of London, New York, Paris, Singapore, Tokyo, Seoul, and Hong Kong. San Francisco is number eight on the ranking of 46 indices and 7 categories that cover corporate presence; global flows; scale and market size; infrastructure platform; talent; innovation; and soft power.

“Global cities that adapt to new economic models focusing on quality of life, innovation, sustainability, governance and resilience are becoming new sources of real estate demand and attracting higher cross-border investment,” says an article about the report by Multi-Housing News.

The Contenders, the second-strongest category after the Big Seven and the one San Francisco tops, have shown the fastest growth in real estate investment over the last cycle and the strongest rental office growth since 2000.

Silicon Valley also shows up on the rankings list as a New World City in the Innovator category; this group has seen investment volumes grow by 50 percent since 2006 and ranks just behind the Big Seven for real estate investment intensity. San Francisco’s Contenders category is number four on that list, behind the Lifestyle cities. The remaining categories are Influencers, Megahubs, Enterprisers, Powerhouses, Hybrids, and National Growth Engines.

Sources: Multi-Housing News, Commercial Property Executive

 

Market Pulse: North Bay, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the North Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets. Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 North Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the North Bay office market’s inventory is at 40.8 million sq. ft., slightly up from last month but holding flat, with approximately 147,000 sq. ft. under construction. This is way down from last month’s 17.2 million sq. ft. of office space. The 12-month net absorption rate is also down, at 56,000 square feet. The vacancy rate is at 7.8 percent and expected to hold there.

For the industrial market, 106 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory, with more on the way, and the space under construction is also rising, at 2.1 million sq. ft., over a million more than last month. The 12-month net absorption is at 206,000 sq. ft., and the vacancy rate is at 3.9% and declining.

There are 65.6 million sq. ft. of retail space available, the same as last month, and the sq. ft. under construction also hasn’t changed at 72,000 sq. ft. but on a downward trend. The 12-month net absorption rate is way down at 22,000 square feet. Vacancy rates are down slightly from last month, at 3.5%, but expected to rise.

The multifamily market is up to 60,000 units available in the inventory. Construction is on the downswing here, at 542 units. The 12-month net absorption rate averages just 63 units across the North Bay area and is on the rise, with a rising vacancy rate of 5.2%.

The North Bay market includes Santa Rosa, Napa, Vallejo, Fairfield, San Rafael, Marin, and more; for more detailed updates or to find out how the North Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors. Whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Data source: CoStar Analytics

Market Pulse: South Bay, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the South Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets. Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 South Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the South Bay office market’s inventory is up 1 million sq. ft. from last month to 130 million sq. ft. and continues to rise. Approximately 5.6 million sq. ft. are under construction, slightly down from August but trending upward. The 12-month net absorption rate is the same as last month at 2.7 million sq. ft. of office space. The vacancy rate is at 8.4 percent and dropping.

For the industrial market, 197 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory and rising. The space under construction is also rising, at 771,000 sq. ft. (the same as last month). The 12-month net absorption is way up from August, at 1 million sq. ft., formerly 844,000 square feet. The vacancy rate hasn’t changed, at 5.7%, but is trending downward.

There are 79.8 million sq. ft. of retail space available and dropping. The space under construction is the same as last month, at 1 million sq. ft., but expected to decline. The 12-month net absorption rate last month was 78,000 sq. ft. and has dropped dramatically to -7,000 square feet. Vacancy rates are slightly up from last month, at 3.4%, but trending downward.

The multifamily market is holding strong at 144,000 units available in the inventory, the same as last month. Construction is way up from last month, from 1,000 units to 9,700 units. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,600 units and rising steadily.  The vacancy rate is at 4.3%, no change from last month, but expected to drop.

The South Bay market stretches from Palo Alto down through Mountain View, San Jose, Morgan Hill, Gilroy, Hollister and southeast through the mountains; for more detailed updates or to find out how the South Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors. Whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Data source: CoStar Analytics

Three New Housing Bills to Impact Multifamily Real Estate Market

The multifamily commercial real estate market is likely to be impacted by three housing bills currently making their way through the California legislature. Senate Bills 330 and 13, and Assembly Bill 1485, each seek to relieve the state’s housing crisis by allowing additional construction and streamlining the approval process.

Sponsored by Senator Nancy Skinner (D-Berkeley), SB 330 will limit how strict cities can make their zoning. According to Bisnow, the proposal “prevents governments from downzoning until 2025; setting parking minimums or imposing housing moratoriums; or enacting other local measures that have made housing development nearly impossible in space-strapped areas.” It also “limits the number of public hearings on a zoning-compliant housing development proposal to five, and the length of time its permits can be considered.” Ideally this will make it easier and faster (and therefore cheaper) to build multifamily housing.

Assembly Bill 1485 aims to expand on 2018’s SB 35, a bill that was supposed to remove “discretionary review and other processes for mixed-income, completely zoning-compliant housing development proposals in cities not meeting their state-determined housing needs.” But due to strict qualification requirements, only three projects have been able to take advantage of the original law’s streamlining effort. The new law clears the pathway to more projects by loosening restrictions. Under AB 1485, 20% of new development units would be reserved for incomes of less that 120% of the area’s median income, a reduction from the previous requirement of 50%.

Finally, SB 13, sponsored by Senator Bob Wieckowski (D-Fremont), is designed to encourage the construction of accessory dwelling units (ADUs) by removing or decreasing fees. In addition, it “allows for automatic approval of an ADU permit application if a local agency has not acted upon the application in 60 days” and “removes the requirement that the owner of an ADU live in the main home while renting out the ADU, meaning both the main dwelling and accessory unit can be rented.” While this will not directly apply to the multifamily industry, the additional availability of ADU rental units may soften the rental housing market.

If they make it through the committee and amendment processes, each of these three bills will be voted on in early September.

Source: Bisnow

Market Pulse: East Bay, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the East Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets. Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 East Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the East Bay office market’s inventory is up to 113 million sq. ft., with approximately 1.2 million sq. ft. under construction on an upward trend. The 12-month net absorption rate is at 1 million sq. ft. of office space. The vacancy rate is up slightly from last month but expected to drop, at 8.2 percent.

For the industrial market, 266 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory and rising. The space under construction is also rising, at 5.7 million square feet. The 12-month net absorption has dropped significantly compared to last month, at -942,000 sq. ft. of industrial space. The vacancy rate is up slightly from last month and rising, at 4.8 percent.

There are 124 million sq. ft. of retail space available, the same as last month but on an upward trend, with 333,000 sq. ft. under construction on a declining path. The 12-month net absorption rate is at -393,000. Vacancy rates continue to rise, at 3.7%.

The multifamily market is holding strong, up to 171,000 units available in the inventory. Construction is up from last month but headed on a downswing, at 9,800 units in the pipeline. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,000 units, the same as last month, with a rising vacancy rate of 4.6%.

For more detailed updates or to find out how the East Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Market Pulse: San Francisco, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the San Francisco commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets.  Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 San Francisco Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the San Francisco office market’s inventory is still at 176 million sq. ft., with 1.8 million additional sq. ft. under construction and dropping. Twelve-month net absorption stands at 1.8 million sq. ft. of office space and rising, yet the vacancy rate also continues to rise, at 6.3 percent.

For the industrial market, 95 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory (the same as last month), but the number is expected to rise as the 2.8 million sq. ft. of industrial space under construction begins completion. The amount of space under construction is expected to continue to rise despite this. The 12-month net absorption rate is at 1.8 million sq. ft. and increasing, and the vacancy rate is at 3.6% and also trending upward.

There are 82 million sq. ft. of retail space available in San Francisco, again the same as last month but expected to drop. More is coming, with about 654,000 sq. ft. under construction and a 12-month absorption rate of 232,000 sq. ft. and rising. Vacancy rates are continuing to decline, at 2.4%.

The multifamily market is slowly growing, up to 165,000 units available in the inventory. Construction is on the upswing here, both from last month and in future projections, at 6,500 units. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,000 units and rising, with vacancy rate of 3.9%, the same as last month but projected to drop.

For more detailed updates or to find out how San Francisco’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Noel Carrillo joins NAI Northern California as Investment Advisor in San Francisco

NAI Northern California is pleased to announce that Noel Carillo has joined as Investment Advisor in San Francisco. Noel specializes in multifamily properties. He has called San Francisco home for nearly a decade, seeing the City evolve over one of its most transformative eras, and now brings that local awareness to his clients in a manner that transcends the transaction and commits to long-standing relationships through open communication and transparency.

Noel is originally from San Diego and is currently attending City College of San Francisco, where he is pursing his degree in Economics. His professional enthusiasm extends into his personal life where, aside from cherished downtime with friends and family, he pursues adventures like saltwater sportfishing–frequently netting yellowfin, bluefin, and yellowtail tuna–and travels to such far-off locales as Japan, Singapore, and Indonesia.

Learn more about Noel Carillo

NAI Northern California Presents: Redwood City Industrial Building Sold for $16M, Occupied by Facebook

Industrial building occupied by Facebook sold with long-term NNN lease

REDWOOD CITY, CA –  August 19, 2019 –  NAI Northern California is pleased to announce the sale of 860 Charter Street in Redwood City, an industrial/office building occupied by Facebook, for $16 million. Armand Anicete represented the buyer of the property. The single-story building has a long-term lease with Facebook and will be extensively remodeled and renovated by the tenant. It is a true triple-net lease with no owner obligations, and has 4% annual increases in rent.

860 Charter Street comprises 24,431 square feet on a 48,648 square foot lot in an excellent location near Stanford Medical, 24 Hour Fitness, Broadway Plaza Development, Stanford Development, and other well-known amenities and credit tenants.

The buyer representative, Armand Anicete, has leased and sold over $200M in his professional career. He is actively working with a wide variety of investors, exchange buyers, and owner/users looking to acquire properties. He also has multiple off-market properties for sale in the San Francisco Bay Area.

 

About NAI Northern California

NAI Northern California is a full service commercial real estate firm serving the San Francisco Bay Area and beyond. Our team delivers technology-enabled commercial real estate services that create value for our clients, industry, and communities.

NAI Northern California is a partner of NAI Global, the largest commercial real estate brokerage network, with more than 375 offices worldwide and over 6,000 professionals completing in excess of $20 billion in commercial real estate transactions globally.

Recently on the San Francisco Business Times Book of Lists, NAI Northern California hit the top 5 and 6 spots in San Francisco and the East Bay and top 15 Bay Area wide. NAI Northern California is part of the NAI Global network, recently recognized by Lipsey as the number 4 most recognizable commercial real estate brand.

Bay Area cities rank in top 10 for most LEED units

California has more LEED-certified multifamily properties than any other state, over 57,000 units worth, and the Bay Area has over 12,000 of these green apartments and condos, with three cities ranking in the top ten statewide. Just behind Los Angeles, San Francisco ranks #2 for the most LEED units, at 8,090, and San Jose is just two spots behind at #4 and 2,545 units. While Oakland hasn’t quite caught up to these levels, it still ranks in the top ten, at #8 with 1,648 units. 

According to Multi-Housing News, “While LEED certification positively impacts the health and well-being of people, as well as the planet, it’s a valuable feature for investors, as it translates to faster lease-up rates and higher resale value.” Owners of LEED multifamily buildings are primarily real estate investment trusts; AvalonBay Communities, owner of the various Avalon, AVA, and eaves complexes in the Bay Area, and the Essex Property Trust, owner of over 80 Bay Area buildings, hold over 9,000 units between them.

The green housing trend really took off in 2008, jumping from 315 LEED-certified apartments and condos statewide in 2007 to 1,947 the next year. The numbers continued to grow through 2017, with a slight dip last year from 7,378 in 2017 to 6,185 in 2018. The developments still are mostly an urban trend, clustered in and around California’s major population centers, though the report only included communities with at least 50 residential units.

Source: Multi-Housing News

Top investment sales firm NAI Northern California continues expansion in first half of 2019

Leader in Bay Area multifamily, retail, and office investment sales and leasing transactions has aggressive growth plan

SAN FRANCISCO, CA – August 21, 2019 – As the second quarter of 2019 has come to a close, Bay Area commercial real estate brokerage NAI Northern California has continued its expansion with an aggressive growth plan. President James Kilpatrick remarks, “We are well on track to top our total sales volume this year as we expand our team and continue to develop tech-forward strategies to serve our clients.”

NAI Northern California and its brokers were recognized both locally and nationally in the first half of the year. The brokerage was ranked as a Top Sales Firm by CoStar in both the San Francisco and East Bay/Oakland markets, and vice president Tim Warren was named a Top Sales Broker for his work in the East Bay/Oakland market. Investment advisor and rising star CJ Brill was awarded a scholarship for the International Council of Shopping Centers’ RECon conference in Las Vegas. The company’s top-producing agent for Q1 through Q2 was senior investment advisor Rudas Gebregiorgas, followed closely by Mary Alam, Grant Chappell, Alex Barker, Doug Sharpe, Joby Tapia, Tim Warren, Kent Mitchell, Jordan Geller, and Joshua Ballesteros.

The company expanded into the greater Silicon Valley area with the hire of Tod Rudee as Executive Vice President in San Jose. Tod brings nearly 30 years of extensive experience in commercial real estate strategy, transaction services, and brokerage performance management in Silicon Valley. His previous background includes leading the San Jose office as Managing Director for CBRE as well as management roles with Colliers International and Premier Properties. 

The majority of the company’s business was multifamily investment sales for Q1 and Q2. Notable sales included Joby Tapia’s $18 million sale of the Central Valley Homes Apartments, a 24-unit complex in Mill Valley; the Mitchell Warren Team’s $14 million sale of 44 units at 888 Vermont Street in Oakland; and the $11.3 million sale of the Terrace at Fair Oaks complex in Carmichael by Rudas Gebregiorgas and Grant Chappell.

For the first two quarters of 2019, single tenant NNN and multi-tenanted retail center sales were a close second. The $25 million in sales completed by the Mary Alam Team included a $6.7 million Walgreensa $3.8 million retail complex in Tracy, and a $3.65 million Regal Cinemas sold by the Mary Alam Team and Ganga Balebail.

Industrial and office properties rounded out NAI Northern California’s sales for the first half of the year. The most notable assets were a $12 million mixed-use development site in South Beach, San Francisco sold by Alex Barker; a $2 million office/warehouse building in West SOMA, San Francisco sold by the Geller Williams team; and a $2.5 million medical office redevelopment deal in San Jose sold by the Mary Alam Team. Vacant land and mixed-use buildings made up the rest of the properties sold by the brokerage. 

Commercial leasing is an increasing part of the company’s business, with leases to boutique and multinational businesses from a range of industries. Spaces leased by NAI Northern California during Q1 and Q2 ranged from 1,100 square feet to 35,000 square feet, for both office and industrial uses. 

Coming into the second half of the year, NAI Northern California has an aggressive growth plan and is currently hiring commercial real estate agents and senior investment sales advisors for all their offices (San Francisco, Oakland, and San Jose) as well as additional leadership roles for both their San Francisco and Oakland offices. Community outreach and volunteering efforts have also been a key component of company life with volunteer days at Project Open Hand in Oakland and San Francisco.

 

About NAI Northern California

NAI Northern California is a full service commercial real estate firm serving the San Francisco Bay Area and beyond. Our team delivers technology-enabled commercial real estate services that create value for our clients, industry, and communities.

NAI Northern California is a partner of NAI Global, the largest commercial real estate brokerage network with more than 350 offices worldwide and over 6,000 professionals completing in excess of $20 billion in commercial real estate transactions globally.

Recently on the San Francisco Business Times Book of Lists, NAI Northern California hit the top 5 and 6 spots in San Francisco and the East Bay and top 10 Bay Area wide. NAI Northern California is part of the NAI Global network, recently recognized by Lipsey as the number 4 most recognizable commercial real estate brand.