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Market Pulse: North Bay, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the North Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets. Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 North Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the North Bay office market’s inventory is at 40.8 million sq. ft., slightly up from last month but holding flat, with approximately 147,000 sq. ft. under construction. This is way down from last month’s 17.2 million sq. ft. of office space. The 12-month net absorption rate is also down, at 56,000 square feet. The vacancy rate is at 7.8 percent and expected to hold there.

For the industrial market, 106 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory, with more on the way, and the space under construction is also rising, at 2.1 million sq. ft., over a million more than last month. The 12-month net absorption is at 206,000 sq. ft., and the vacancy rate is at 3.9% and declining.

There are 65.6 million sq. ft. of retail space available, the same as last month, and the sq. ft. under construction also hasn’t changed at 72,000 sq. ft. but on a downward trend. The 12-month net absorption rate is way down at 22,000 square feet. Vacancy rates are down slightly from last month, at 3.5%, but expected to rise.

The multifamily market is up to 60,000 units available in the inventory. Construction is on the downswing here, at 542 units. The 12-month net absorption rate averages just 63 units across the North Bay area and is on the rise, with a rising vacancy rate of 5.2%.

The North Bay market includes Santa Rosa, Napa, Vallejo, Fairfield, San Rafael, Marin, and more; for more detailed updates or to find out how the North Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors. Whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Data source: CoStar Analytics

Market Pulse: South Bay, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the South Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets. Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 South Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the South Bay office market’s inventory is up 1 million sq. ft. from last month to 130 million sq. ft. and continues to rise. Approximately 5.6 million sq. ft. are under construction, slightly down from August but trending upward. The 12-month net absorption rate is the same as last month at 2.7 million sq. ft. of office space. The vacancy rate is at 8.4 percent and dropping.

For the industrial market, 197 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory and rising. The space under construction is also rising, at 771,000 sq. ft. (the same as last month). The 12-month net absorption is way up from August, at 1 million sq. ft., formerly 844,000 square feet. The vacancy rate hasn’t changed, at 5.7%, but is trending downward.

There are 79.8 million sq. ft. of retail space available and dropping. The space under construction is the same as last month, at 1 million sq. ft., but expected to decline. The 12-month net absorption rate last month was 78,000 sq. ft. and has dropped dramatically to -7,000 square feet. Vacancy rates are slightly up from last month, at 3.4%, but trending downward.

The multifamily market is holding strong at 144,000 units available in the inventory, the same as last month. Construction is way up from last month, from 1,000 units to 9,700 units. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,600 units and rising steadily.  The vacancy rate is at 4.3%, no change from last month, but expected to drop.

The South Bay market stretches from Palo Alto down through Mountain View, San Jose, Morgan Hill, Gilroy, Hollister and southeast through the mountains; for more detailed updates or to find out how the South Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors. Whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Data source: CoStar Analytics

Market Pulse: East Bay, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the East Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets. Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 East Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the East Bay office market’s inventory is up to 113 million sq. ft., with approximately 1.2 million sq. ft. under construction on an upward trend. The 12-month net absorption rate is at 1 million sq. ft. of office space. The vacancy rate is up slightly from last month but expected to drop, at 8.2 percent.

For the industrial market, 266 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory and rising. The space under construction is also rising, at 5.7 million square feet. The 12-month net absorption has dropped significantly compared to last month, at -942,000 sq. ft. of industrial space. The vacancy rate is up slightly from last month and rising, at 4.8 percent.

There are 124 million sq. ft. of retail space available, the same as last month but on an upward trend, with 333,000 sq. ft. under construction on a declining path. The 12-month net absorption rate is at -393,000. Vacancy rates continue to rise, at 3.7%.

The multifamily market is holding strong, up to 171,000 units available in the inventory. Construction is up from last month but headed on a downswing, at 9,800 units in the pipeline. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,000 units, the same as last month, with a rising vacancy rate of 4.6%.

For more detailed updates or to find out how the East Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Market Pulse: San Francisco, September 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the San Francisco commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets.  Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, under construction, 12-month net absorption, and vacancy rate.

Check out our September 2019 San Francisco Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the San Francisco office market’s inventory is still at 176 million sq. ft., with 1.8 million additional sq. ft. under construction and dropping. Twelve-month net absorption stands at 1.8 million sq. ft. of office space and rising, yet the vacancy rate also continues to rise, at 6.3 percent.

For the industrial market, 95 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory (the same as last month), but the number is expected to rise as the 2.8 million sq. ft. of industrial space under construction begins completion. The amount of space under construction is expected to continue to rise despite this. The 12-month net absorption rate is at 1.8 million sq. ft. and increasing, and the vacancy rate is at 3.6% and also trending upward.

There are 82 million sq. ft. of retail space available in San Francisco, again the same as last month but expected to drop. More is coming, with about 654,000 sq. ft. under construction and a 12-month absorption rate of 232,000 sq. ft. and rising. Vacancy rates are continuing to decline, at 2.4%.

The multifamily market is slowly growing, up to 165,000 units available in the inventory. Construction is on the upswing here, both from last month and in future projections, at 6,500 units. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,000 units and rising, with vacancy rate of 3.9%, the same as last month but projected to drop.

For more detailed updates or to find out how San Francisco’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in officeindustrialretail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Market Pulse: North Bay, August 2019

Welcome to NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the North Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets.  Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, 12-month net absorption, under construction, and vacancy rate.

Check out our August 2019 North Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the North Bay office market’s inventory is at 40.7 million sq. ft. and holding flat, with 12-month net absorption down at 127,000 sq. ft. of office space. Approximately 17.2 million sq. ft. are under construction with an upward trend. The vacancy rate is at 7.4 percent and expected to drop.

For the industrial market, 105 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory, with more on the way. The 12-month net absorption is heading up, at 231,000 sq. ft., and the space under construction is also rising, at 1.1 million square feet. The vacancy rate is at 3.4% and holding steady.

There are 65.6 million sq. ft. of retail space available and rising, with a 12-month net absorption rate at 113,000 sq. ft. (a decreasing trend). More is being built, though, with 72,000  sq. ft. under construction. Vacancy rates continue to rise, at 3.7%.

The multifamily market is up to 59,000 units available in the inventory. The 12-month net absorption rate averages just 52 units across the North Bay area and is dropping. Construction is on the upswing here, at 557 units, with a rising vacancy rate of 5.4%.

For more detailed updates or to find out how the North Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in office, industrial, retail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Market Pulse: South Bay, August 2019

Welcome to NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the South Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets.  Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, 12-month net absorption, under construction, and vacancy rate.

Check out our August 2019 South Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the South Bay office market’s inventory is up to 129 million sq. ft., with 12-month net absorption also up at 2.7 million sq. ft. of office space. Approximately 6.2 million sq. ft. are under construction with an upward trend. The vacancy rate is at 8.3 percent and dropping.

For the industrial market, 198 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory and rising. The 12-month net absorption is on its way up, at 844,000 sq. ft., and the space under construction is also rising, at 771,000 square feet. The vacancy rate is at 5.7% and trending downward.

There are 79.9 million sq. ft. of retail space available and dropping, with a 12-month net absorption rate of 78,000 sq. ft. (a decreasing trend). More is being built, though, with 1 million sq. ft. under construction. Vacancy rates continue to drop, at 3.3%.

The multifamily market is holding strong, up to 144,000 units available in the inventory. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,500 units and rising. Construction is on the upswing here, at 1,000 units. The vacancy rate is at 4.3% and dropping.

For more detailed updates or to find out how the South Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in office, industrial, retail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Market Pulse: East Bay, August 2019

Welcome to NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the East Bay commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets.  Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, 12-month net absorption, under construction, and vacancy rate.

Check out our August 2019 East Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the East Bay office market’s inventory is up to 112 million sq. ft., with 12-month net absorption down at 819,000 sq. ft. of office space. Approximately 1.4 million sq. ft. are under construction with an upward trend. The vacancy rate is dropping, at 8.2 percent.

For the industrial market, 265 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory and rising. The 12-month net absorption is almost even, dropping to -1,100 square feet. The space under construction is also dropping, at 6 million square feet, and the vacancy rate is rising to 4.9%.

There are 124 million sq. ft. of retail space available, on an upward trend, with a 12-month net absorption rate of 29,000 sq. ft. (a decreasing trend). Over 340,000 sq. ft. are under construction, with more in the pipeline. Vacancy rates continue to rise, at 3.5%.

The multifamily market is holding strong, up to 170,000 units available in the inventory. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,000 units. Construction is on the upswing here, at 9,400 units, with a rising vacancy rate of 4.5%.

For more detailed updates or to find out how the East Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in office, industrial, retail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

Market Pulse: San Francisco, August 2019

Welcome to the NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the San Francisco commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets.  Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, 12-month net absorption, under construction, and vacancy rate.

Check out our August 2019 San Francisco Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the San Francisco office market’s inventory is up to 176 million sq. ft., with 12-month net absorption at 2.2 million sq. ft. of office space and dropping. Approximately 6.6 million sq. ft. are under construction with an upward trend. The vacancy rate is rising, at 6.2 percent.

For the industrial market, 95 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory and rising. The 12-month net absorption is at 6,800 sq. ft. and rising. The space under construction is also rising, at 2.5 million square feet. The vacancy rate is at 3.7% and trending upward.

There are 82 million sq. ft. of retail space available, and more coming, with a 12-month net absorption rate of 244,000 sq. ft. heading upward. More is being built, about 433,000 square feet. Vacancy rates have started to drop, at 2.5%.

The multifamily market is holding strong, up to 164,000 units available in the inventory. The 12-month net absorption rate is 2,200 units and rising. Construction is on the upswing here, at 6,200 units, with a decreasing vacancy rate of 3.9%.

For more detailed updates or to find out how San Francisco’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in office, industrial, retail, or multifamily properties, we can help.

How retailers are succeeding in San Francisco

San Francisco’s changing demographics, tricky economics, and transforming neighborhoods are requiring retailers to adapt, but many are rising to the challenge. The city has become one of the most popular destinations for “clicks-to-bricks” retail stores; San Francisco is tied with Los Angeles in second place for where e-commerce retail opens their first physical location (as of 2018). 

One characteristic of successful stores is that they have a story in addition to a popular product; examples include Warby Parker, with 2 SF locations, and Allbirds. Both started as online-only retail (eyeglasses and shoes respectively) and then opened flagship brick-and-morter stores. 

Another winning strategy is anything that will get millennials in the door: experiential retail, pop-ups, fitness centers, and quality food and drink stores like Onedome, CorePower Yoga, and Barry’s Bootcamp are doing well enough to open new locations.

The downtown area is strongest, with stores targeting millennial workers in locations a little off of Market but still within easy reach. The Marina and Pacific Heights are also profitable locations, loci for millennials and far away from centers of homelessness.

 It may soon get much easier to open retail stores in the city; Mayor London Breed has announced a new initiative to speed up the permitting process for small business. The ordinance eases zoning codes, eliminates duplicative inspections, and standardizes local laws to match state regulations. In addition, according to the Mayor’s office, “The proposed investments for Fiscal Years (FY) 2019-20 and 2020-21 include $9 million to provide small businesses with access to capital through low-interest loans, resources for storefront and tenant improvements, and new funding to provide small businesses with financial assistance for regulatory fees.”

Source: Bisnow

Market Pulse: North Bay, July 2019

Welcome to NAI Northern California’s “Market Pulse” feature. We checked the pulse of the South commercial real estate market to discover the ups and downs of the office, industrial, retail, and multifamily markets.  Each market has four dimensions: current inventory, 12-month net absorption, under construction, and vacancy rate.

Check out our July 2019 North Bay Market Pulse infographic. If a dimension is on the rise, the pulse goes above the baseline; if it’s on the decline or negative, the pulse will dip below the baseline.

This month the North Bay office market’s inventory is at 40.7 million sq. ft. and rising, with 12-month net absorption also up at 325,000 sq. ft. of office space. Approximately 17.2 million sq. ft. are under construction with a downward trend. The vacancy rate is at 6.8 percent and dropping.

For the industrial market, 105 million sq. ft. of space is in the inventory, with more on the way. The 12-month net absorption is heading up, at 164,000 sq. ft., and the space under construction is also rising, at 1 million square feet. The vacancy rate is at 4% and trending upward.

There are 65.7 million sq. ft. of retail space available and rising, with a 12-month net absorption rate nearly neutral at -4,600 sq. ft. (a decreasing trend). Less is being built, though, with 61,000  sq. ft. under construction. Vacancy rates continue to rise, at 3.7%.

The multifamily market is up to 59,000 units available in the inventory. The 12-month net absorption rate averages just 24.2 units across the North Bay area, but is rising. Construction is on the upswing here, at 987 units, with a rising vacancy rate of 3.8%.

For more detailed updates or to find out how the North Bay’s submarkets are doing, contact one of our advisors; whether you’re interested in office, industrial, retail, or multifamily properties, we can help.